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America on the edge of depressionAll economists will agree that unemployment is the key measure that signals a depression. The US gov’t reported that full unemployment was at 7.2% at the end of 2008. The figure does not include discouraged workers who have dropped out of the work force or those working part-time because they can’t find full-time employment, temporary lay-offs or those working reduced hours. When those known figures are included, the full-time unemployment rate rises to 17.5%. And unemployment is rising in January 2009, not falling. Statistically, 25% unemployment was the figure during the 1930’s depression. Pres. Obama intends to use Keynesian economic theory that says government can spend its way out of depression. There is another never mentioned economic theory espoused by the great economist Ludwig Von Mises in his 1912 award-winning work, “The Theory of Money & Credit”. Mises states that it is impossible to spend your way to prosperity. That prosperity comes from hard productive work and savings, not borrowed money, spending and consumption, which creates illusory bubbles of inflationary prosperity which leads to monetary collapse and depression. Von Mises was right in the 1930’s and so far he’s right today. The Von Mises Institute is still active today and located in Auburn, Ala. But you will never hear it mentioned by the news media or by gov’t leaders. Who do you think is right, John Maynard Keynes or Ludwig Von Mises? All economists for the last 100 years use the work of one of these two men. The Shadow's blog | login to post comments |