ELECTION PREDICTIONS

Git Real's picture

Congrats in advance to all the election victors and cheers to those who will face defeat in a few short hours. This evening always proves to be a glad event or sad one. Anyways.... Congrats again and thanks to all for giving us a few options.

Soooooo..... who is it gonna be?

Runoff: Babb - Hannah

Runoff: Kiser - Jackson

Tax Comm - Wingo

DA - Ballard by a hair to the delight of the Ruby Tuesday Bandits and the Red Room Murderer.

Commish # 1 - Horgan by a hair

Commish # 3 - Peter by a hair

Commish # 2 - I won't even guess

Bd of Ed - Goodbye Smola

Bd of Ed - Terri will probably squeak by

Bd of Ed - Marion Key

73rd Dist - Yates

Public Service Commish - Who cares

Congress - Mickey Mouse edges out Westmoreland in a squeaker allowing Lynn to concentrate on replacing Sonny as a full time endeavor! Evil

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My predictions
sniffles5's picture
Submitted by sniffles5 on Tue, 07/15/2008 - 3:59pm.

My predictions:
Sheriff: Runoff-Babb - Hannah (Hannah barely misses 50%)
Probate: Runoff- Kiser - Jackson
Tax Comm - Wingo 55%
DA - Ballard 51% Hayes 49%
Commish # 1 - Dunn 51%
Commish # 3 - Runoff Pfeiffer - Kourajian
Commish # 2 - Frady 60%+
Bd of Ed 1 - Smola 55%
Bd of Ed 2 - Smith 60%
Bd of Ed 3 - runoff Key 45% - Jensen-linton 40%
73rd Dist - Methuselah 60%


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Percentages?
Git Real's picture
Submitted by Git Real on Tue, 07/15/2008 - 5:50pm.

You are certainly bolder than I throwing out percentages. Who gave you those? Puzzled Your lucky bug?

Do you really think there won't be more of a backlash against the school board that what you just eluded to? With the redrawing of the lines and such as there done?

If you're right about Dunn and Frady it's going to be might entertaining to watch those two go at it over the next couple of years.


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Predictions
NUK_1's picture
Submitted by NUK_1 on Tue, 07/15/2008 - 6:31pm.

I'm with you, Git. I expect a serious backlash against incumbent school board members. Maybe Key makes a runoff and I think that's it for the incumbents.

Ballard-Hayes is likely to be real close, but I'm still thinking Hayes takes it.

I see Dunn, Wells, Pfeiffer and even Furman winning.

Sheriff's run-off to be Hannah and Babb with Simmons finishing just out of the 2nd spot. Mindar a distant 4th.

Not a year to be an incumbent in Fayette county as disgust with the national party filters down locally and the local incumbents are judged to be lacking.


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yep, percentages
sniffles5's picture
Submitted by sniffles5 on Tue, 07/15/2008 - 6:29pm.

Might as well go all out! (hey, if I'm wrong, I'm wrong...I won't try and make excuses after the fact like certain losers here today). I'm often mistaken...but never wrong! Eye-wink

Anyway, I think the school board races will be very close. The reason they will be close is because they essentially caved on redistricting, making everyone happy but not solving the problem. I suspect we will see the mother of all redistrictings in 2011. Bookmark this thread to see if I'm right.

Interestingly, I have a couple of friends in social circles that are far above my station in life...we socialize infrequently. I had both of their wives call me last night, one urging me to vote for Houston for school board ("He understands what's important: protecting property values" i.e. No McIntosh Homes Redistricted to Sandy Creek" and also one for Carol Jensen-Linton ("She's one of us!") which told me that Cal's pegging her as a country club commissioner was right on target.

I agree, if Dunn and Frady win there will be constant fireworks.

I'm running for the school board in 2012, I'm counting on you to be my campaign manager.


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yeah I hope it isn't a
Submitted by daveskeys on Tue, 07/15/2008 - 4:38pm.

yeah I hope it isn't a runoff but it may be and then I think Mindar would back Babb as well (and maybe even Simons)

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